The federal energy tax credits have expired

Costs and payback figures on this page may still assume a federal credit that no longer exists. The 30% Residential Clean Energy Credit (25D) and the Energy Efficient Home Improvement Credit (25C) both ended for property placed in service after 31 December 2025, and the home EV charger credit (30C) ended after 30 June 2026. Assume no federal credit on work done today.

What expired, and what still exists →

New York, NY

Electrification ROI based on Con Edison rates and local rebates

Population: 8,336,000Climate: coldElectric: $0.215/kWhGas: $1.45/therm
Best Upgrade
Solar Panels
7.9 years 146% ROI
Annual Savings
$2,687/year
Full electrification
Total Incentives
$14,750
Federal + utility rebates

Visual ROI Analysis

Payback Period Comparison

Lower is better • Shortest payback = fastest return on investment

Annual Savings Comparison

Higher is better • More annual savings = greater long-term benefit

Cumulative Net Savings Over Time

Point where line crosses $0 = payback achieved • Steeper line = faster savings growth

Detailed ROI by Upgrade

Heat Pump HVAC System

Replace gas furnace + AC with an all-electric heat pump

🌡️

Costs

Upfront cost:$12,000 - $18,000
Federal tax credit:-$0
Con Edison rebate:-$2,500
City/state incentives:-$4,000
Net cost:$5,500 - $11,500

Savings & ROI

Annual savings:$67/year
Simple payback:Not Recommended
15-year ROI:-93%
CO₂ reduction:0.5 tons/year
15-year net savings:$-13,992

Solar Panels (6kW System)

Generate your own electricity from the sun

☀️

Costs

Upfront cost:$15,000 - $21,000
Federal tax credit (30%):-$0
City/state incentives:-$5,000
Net cost:$10,000 - $16,000

Savings & ROI

Annual savings:$1,695/year
Simple payback:7.9 years
25-year ROI:146%
CO₂ reduction:3.6 tons/year

Full Electrification Package

Heat pump + Solar + Heat pump water heater + EV charger

Costs

Total upfront cost:$30,300 - $45,000
Total federal credits:-$0
Total utility rebates:-$3,750
City/state incentives:-$11,000
Net cost:$15,550 - $30,250

Savings & ROI

Annual savings:$2,687/year
Simple payback:8.9 years
15-year ROI:13%
Total CO₂ reduction:10.3 tons/year
15-year net savings:$2,652

New York Energy Context

Climate & Usage

Climate zone:cold
Heating degree days:4,950
Cooling degree days:1,150
Avg home size:1,600 sq ft

Energy Costs

Utility provider:Con Edison
Electricity rate:$0.215/kWh
Natural gas rate:$1.45/therm
Avg monthly bills:$185 elec + $82 gas

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