Is Electrification Worth It in Virginia?

Virginia is right in the sweet spot for heat pumps.

Not too hot, not too cold. About 4,200 heating degree days. Electricity at $0.12/kWh. Natural gas around $1.50/therm. You need both heating and cooling, which makes heat pumps more valuable than in extreme climates where you only use one mode. Dominion Energy offers rebates, and Virginia has modest state incentives.

Heat pumps make sense for most Virginia homeowners, especially if you're in the Richmond-to-Norfolk corridor. Payback typically runs 6-9 years. Not spectacular, but solid. The bigger opportunity is if you're heating with oil or propane—those fuels are way more expensive, and switching to a heat pump can save you $1,200+ per year.

Updated December 2024Data from EIA, DSIRE, NREL
Heat Pump Payback
Not Recommended
With incentives
Annual Savings
$2,490
Full electrification
Available Incentives
$11,200
Federal + state + utility
CO₂ Reduction
12.8 tons
Per year

Virginia Energy Costs

Electricity Rate
$0.135/kWh
Natural Gas Rate
$1.58/therm
Average Electric Bill
$142/month
Average Gas Bill
$72/month
Climate Zone
mixed
Heating Degree Days
4,200
Cooling Degree Days
1,250

Visual ROI Analysis

Payback Period Comparison

Lower is better • Shortest payback = fastest return on investment

Annual Savings Comparison

Higher is better • More annual savings = greater long-term benefit

Cumulative Net Savings Over Time

Point where line crosses $0 = payback achieved • Steeper line = faster savings growth

Return on Investment by Upgrade

🌡️

Heat Pump HVAC

Upfront Cost$12,000 - $22,000
Total Incentives-$2,800
Net Cost$9,200 - $19,200
Annual Savings$131/yr
Payback PeriodNot Recommended
Lifetime ROI18%
CO₂ Reduction2.9 tons/yr
☀️

Solar Panels

Upfront Cost$15,000 - $30,000
Total Incentives-$4,500
Net Cost$10,500 - $21,000
Annual Savings$948/yr
Payback Period17.5 years
Lifetime ROI123%
CO₂ Reduction3.3 tons/yr
💧

Heat Pump Water Heater

Upfront Cost$2,500 - $4,500
Total Incentives-$2,500
Net Cost$0 - $2,000
Annual Savings$272/yr
Payback Period4.5 years
Lifetime ROI89%
CO₂ Reduction1.8 tons/yr

EV Charger + Electric Vehicle

Upfront Cost$800 - $2,500
Total Incentives-$1,400
Net Cost$-600 - $1,100
Annual Savings$1,140/yr
Payback Period0.3 years
Lifetime ROI1475%
CO₂ Reduction4.8 tons/yr

Full Electrification Package

Total Upfront Cost
$30,300 - $59,000
Total Incentives
-$11,200
Net Cost After Incentives
$19,100 - $47,800
Annual Energy Savings
$2,490/year
Lifetime Savings (18 years)
$44,819
Simple Payback
15.0 years
💡

Best ROI for Virginia

Based on your state's energy costs and climate, EV Charger offers the best return on investment with an average payback of 0.3 years and an ROI of 1475%.

0.0 years slower than average compared to the national average.

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