The federal energy tax credits have expired

Costs and payback figures on this page may still assume a federal credit that no longer exists. The 30% Residential Clean Energy Credit (25D) and the Energy Efficient Home Improvement Credit (25C) both ended for property placed in service after 31 December 2025, and the home EV charger credit (30C) ended after 30 June 2026. Assume no federal credit on work done today.

What expired, and what still exists →

Is Electrification Worth It in Texas?

Texas is weird.

Your electricity comes from a deregulated market where rates swing wildly depending on which retail provider you picked. Summer cooling loads are brutal—100°F days from June through September. But heating? You might use your furnace 20 days a year. Natural gas is dirt cheap here thanks to the Permian Basin. So the standard heat pump pitch doesn't really apply.

Here's the move: If you live in a hot zone like Houston or San Antonio and your AC is dying, get a heat pump. You're buying AC anyway, and the heating is basically free. But if you're in the Panhandle with a working gas furnace? The economics get murky fast.

Updated 31 July 2026Data from EIA, DSIRE, NREL
Heat Pump Payback
Not Recommended
With incentives
Annual Savings
$2,428
Full electrification
Available Incentives
$1,150
State + utility (federal credits expired)
CO₂ Reduction
12.1 tons
Per year

What Do Energy Costs Look Like in Texas?

Here's the real data from EIA (Energy Information Administration). These are the rates that determine whether electrification makes financial sense.

Electricity Rate
$0.132/kWh
Natural Gas Rate
$1.32/therm
Average Electric Bill
$155/month
Average Gas Bill
$52/month
Climate Zone
hot
Heating Degree Days
1,700
Cooling Degree Days
2,800

Visual ROI Analysis

Payback Period Comparison

Lower is better • Shortest payback = fastest return on investment

Annual Savings Comparison

Higher is better • More annual savings = greater long-term benefit

Cumulative Net Savings Over Time

Point where line crosses $0 = payback achieved • Steeper line = faster savings growth

Which Upgrades Pay Off the Fastest?

The economics are broken down for each major upgrade. Pay attention to the payback period—that's how long until savings equal your net cost.

🌡️

Heat Pump HVAC

Upfront Cost$12,000 - $22,000
Total Incentives-$500
Net Cost$11,500 - $21,500
Annual Savings$9/yr
Payback PeriodNot Recommended
Lifetime ROI7%
CO₂ Reduction1.8 tons/yr
☀️

Solar Panels

Upfront Cost$15,000 - $30,000
Total Incentives-$0
Net Cost$15,000 - $30,000
Annual Savings$1,069/yr
Payback Period22.1 years
Lifetime ROI139%
CO₂ Reduction3.8 tons/yr
💧

Heat Pump Water Heater

Upfront Cost$2,500 - $4,500
Total Incentives-$350
Net Cost$2,150 - $4,150
Annual Savings$198/yr
Payback Period18.4 years
Lifetime ROI66%
CO₂ Reduction1.8 tons/yr

EV Charger + Electric Vehicle

Upfront Cost$800 - $2,500
Total Incentives-$300
Net Cost$500 - $2,200
Annual Savings$1,152/yr
Payback Period1.2 years
Lifetime ROI1489%
CO₂ Reduction4.8 tons/yr

Should You Go All-In?

Here's what it costs to electrify everything at once—heat pump HVAC, solar panels, heat pump water heater, and EV charger. The upfront cost is high, but so are the savings.

Total Upfront Cost
$30,300 - $59,000
Total Incentives
-$1,150
Net Cost After Incentives
$29,150 - $57,850
Annual Energy Savings
$2,428/year
Lifetime Savings (18 years)
$43,712
Simple Payback
19.8 years
💡

Best ROI for Texas

Based on your state's energy costs and climate, EV Charger offers the best return on investment with an average payback of 1.2 years and an ROI of 1489%.

0.0 years slower than average compared to the national average.

Ready to electrify your Texas home?

Get free quotes from local contractors who specialize in heat pumps, solar, and electrification.

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